84 U.S. Markets Improving In July

Where economic growth goes, housing growth often follows.

That's why it's good news for homeowners that 84 U.S. metropolitan areas are showing "measurable and sustained growth" this month, according to the National Association of Homebuilders' Improving Market Index.

The Improving Market Index is a derivative report, based on the results of three separate data series which examine a city's local economy.

The data series used in the IMI are :

1. Employment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics
2. Home price data from Freddie Mac
3. One-unit building permits from the Census Bureau

The NAHB compiles this data monthly, assigning a given metropolitan area the label "improving" if the following two conditions are met. First, all three data series above must show growth or expansion in the current month.

Second, at least six months must have passed since any of the above that area's most recent economic "bottom".

Because of this second clause, the IMI is focused on long-term trends in city growth, singling out only those markets in which sustained economic growth is occurring. The six-month requirement causes "blips" of growth remain ignored, and uncounted. 

The July IMI showed 84 improving markets nationwide, a 4-city increase over June 2012. 11 new cities were added to the index including Jackson, Michigan; Springfield, Massachusetts; and, Houston, Texas. Seven cities fell off the list.

32 states are represented in this month's IMI, and the District of Columbia, too.

For California home buyers, there isn't much actionable information in the Improving Market Index. We don't see how many homes were sold in the month prior, for example. Nor do we see how quickly homes are selling in a particular ZIP code. But what the IMI can provide is a broad look at whether a local economy has found its footing. 

When economies are strong, it can create competition for homes which can drive up home sales prices. 

The complete Improving Markets Index is available for download at the NAHB website. But, for a better feel of what's happening in Temecula on a local level, talk to a real estate agent.

Home Purchasing Power Jumps To New Highs

With mortgage rates down to all-time lows, you can buy a lot more home for your money. Home affordability is at an all-time high.

According to last week's Freddie Mac mortgage rate survey, the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage has dropped to 3.62% nationwide. This is down from 4.08% in March, and down from 4.60% from one year ago.

Mortgage rates are "on sale".

Falling mortgage rates can make one of two changes to the way a Temecula home buyer looks at properties. They can either make a given home's monthly housing payment that much more affordable to a buyer, or they can expand that buyer's home purchasing power to a higher, maximum price point.

Since July 2011, that maximum price point increase has been significant.

Assuming a principal + interest payment of $1,000 per month and a 30-year loan term, a category that includes 30-year fixed rate mortgages and most adjustable-rate mortgages, here's a maximum loan size comparison of the last 12 months : 

• July 2011 : A payment of $1,000 affords a maximum loan size of $197,130
• July 2012 : A payment of $1,000 affords a maximum loan size of $219,409

With an increase in maximum loan size of more than $22,000 in just 12 months, it's no wonder that multiple-offer situations are becoming more common -- today's buyers know that low home prices and low mortgage rates are combining to make home buying more affordable than at any time in recent history.

However, the buyer-friendly environment can't last forever.

First, home prices have started to rise nationwide. Demand for homes has outpaced home supply in many U.S. markets and that leads home prices higher. Second, low mortgage rates can't last forever.

A recovering economy will lift mortgage rates back above 4 percent, a scenario that will hit home affordability hard.

Home-buying conditions are optimal this season. If you're in the market for a new home, talk to your real estate agent and loan officer about maximizing your home purchasing power.

Top 10 U.S. Cities For Public Parks

For the first time in more than 100 years, the growth in America's cities is outpacing the growth in its suburbs. 

According to the 2011 estimates of the U.S. Census Bureau, between July 2010 and July 2011, city centers grew faster than their surrounding suburbs in 53% of the nation's largest housing markets. 

Compare this to just 9.8% during the 10 years prior.

Cities now compete with suburbs on a number of fronts including job availability, housing costs, and access to amenities, a category which includes proximity to public parks.

Parks are important to a city. Studies prove that parks help to attract home buyers, to retain retired homeowners, and to raise home values. And now, with the creation of ParkScore, it's easy to compare park systems between U.S. cities.

ParkScore is an at-a-glance assessment of a city's park system. Published by The Trust for Public Land, ParkScore considers "every publicly owned park space" within the nation's largest cities and assigns an overall score based on total acreage, services provided, and access.

The maximum ParkScore is 100.

According to its publisher, the 10 cities nationwide with the highest ParkScores are :

1. San Francisco, California (74.0)
2. Sacramento, California (73.5)
3. Boston, Massachusetts (72.5)
4. New York, New York (72.5)
5. Washington, D.C. (71.5)
6. Portland, Oregon (69.0)
7. Virginia Beach, Virginia (68.5)
8. San Diego, California (67.5)
9. Seattle, Washington (66.5)
10. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (66.0)

ParkScore rankings place a high premium on the "percentage of city residents living within a 10-minute walk of a public park". It's no surprise, therefore, that some of the top-finishers included San Francisco, Boston and New York City -- three cities known for their abundance of public parks.

ParkScore bottom-finishers included Fresno, California; Charlotte, North Carolina; and Louisville, Kentucky.

The complete ParkScore rankings are available at http://parkscore.tpl.org, along with each city's score and ranking analysis.

30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Rates Fall To 3.62% Nationwide

30-year fixed rate mortgage rates made new, all-time lows once again this week.

According to Freddie Mac's weekly mortgage rate survey of more than 125 banks nationwide, the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage rate fell 4 basis point to 3.62% nationwide.

The rate is available to conforming, prime borrowers willing to pay an accompanying 0.8 discount points plus a full set of closing costs. A "prime" mortgage applicant typically has excellent credit, verifiable income, and at least 25% equity in their home.

And, it's not just the 30-year fixed rate mortgage that made new lows in this holiday-shortened week, either. The 15-year fixed rate mortgage did, too, falling 5 basis points to 2.89%, on average.

The 15-year fixed rate mortgage requires 0.7 discount points plus closing costs.

Discount points are a one-time, up-front closing cost, based on loan size. If your loan requires 1 discount point, that means that your loan has a closing cost equal to 1 percent of your loan size. If your loan requires two discount points, the fee would be equal to two percent of your loan size; and so on.

So, based on this week's Freddie Mac survey, a home buyer in Encinitas opening a $200,000 mortgage and paying 0.8 discount points would face to a one-time $1,600 fee to be paid at closing.

The good news is that discount points are optional. 

To avoid paying discount points, simply ask your lender for a "zero points" loan. You'll get a higher mortgage rate than what Freddie Mac shows in its survey, but you'll pay fewer closing costs.

Today's low rates are terrific for both home buyers throughout New York and existing homeowners looking to make a refinance. As compared last year at this time, mortgage rates are down by 98 basis points -- nearly one full percentage point.

Mortgage payments are much lower today as compared to July 2011 : 

• July 2011 : $512.64 principal + interest per $100,000 borrowed
• July 2012 : $455.77 principal + interest per $100,000 borrowed

Today's rates yield an 11 percent payment discount as compared to last year.

Mortgage rates are unpredictable so there's no guarantee that low rates will last forever, much less through the summer. If today's rates meet your household budget, consider locking something in.

Mortgage Rate Risk Ahead Of Friday Morning's Jobs Report

Friday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its Non-Farm Payrolls report. More commonly called "the jobs report", Non-Farm Payrolls is a monthly market-mover.

Depending on the strength -- or weakness -- of the data, mortgage rates will change. Perhaps sharply. Unfortunately, we can't know in which direction.

If you're actively shopping for a mortgage in Encinitas , therefore, today may be a prudent day to lock a mortgage.

The job report's connection to mortgage rates is straight-forward. As the number of U.S. citizens earning paychecks increases, reverberations are felt through the economy.

First, higher levels of income are tied to higher levels of consumer spending and consumer spending accounts for the majority of the U.S. economy. More working citizens, therefore, builds a larger overall economic base.

Next, as the overall economic base grows, businesses produce and sell more goods, necessitating the hiring of additional personnel and the purchase of more raw materials -- both positives for the economy.

And, lastly, as more paychecks are written, more taxes are paid to local, state and federal governments. These taxes are often used to fund projects and purchase goods and services which, in turn, grow the economy as well.

Tying it all together, the health of the U.S. economy is a major factor is setting day-to-day mortgage rates across California. This is why rate shoppers face risk with tomorrow's Non-Farm Payrolls report.

Between 2008 and 2009, the economy shed 7 million jobs. It has since recovered 3.9 million of them and, Friday, analysts expect to see another 100,000 jobs created in June. If the actual number of jobs created exceeds this estimate, look for mortgage rates to rise. 

If the actual number of jobs created falls short of 100,000, mortgage rates may fall.

The government releases Non-Farm Payrolls data at 8:30 AM ET Friday.

Pending Home Sales Index Hits A 2-Year High

Homes are going under contract at a quickening pace.

In May, for the second time in 3 months, the Pending Home Sales Index crossed the 100 barrier, stretching to 101.1. A "pending home sale" is a home under contract to sell, but not yet sold.

Statistically, the Pending Home Sales Index reading is significant for two reasons.

First, the index's reading is at its highest since April 2010. From this, we infer that today's pace of home buying in New York and nationwide is approaching the "stimulated" levels of two years ago -- but without the federal stimulus.

This is a positive signal for the housing market.

Second, because the Pending Home Sales Index is a relative index; and, because it was assigned a value of 100 upon its inception in 2001, readings higher than 100 imply that the housing market is performing better than it did during the index's first year.

2001 happened to be a strong year for housing. 2012, it seems, is shaping up to be a better one.

And, there's another reason why the Pending Home Sales Index matters so much to buyer and sellers of Temecula -- the Pending Home Sales Index is among the few "forward-looking" housing market indicators.

Rather than report on how the housing market looked 30-60 days in the past, as the Case-Shiller Index does; or the Existing Home Sales report, the Pending Home Sales Index looks 30-60 days to the future.

80% of homes under contract sell within 2 months so, as the Pending Home Sales Index goes, so goes housing. Based on May's data, therefore, we can assume that home sale figures will rise through the summer.

If you're shopping for homes right now, consider going under contract while the market remains somewhat soft. Mortgage rates are low and so are home prices. It makes for good home-buying conditions.

Tips To Keep Your Home Cooler Without Turning Down The Thermostat

The typical U.S. household "loses" up to 30% of its annual heating and cooling bill to energy inefficiencies, according to ENERGY STAR®.

The good news is that there are dozens of ways to help your home perform better.

As the calendar turns to July, and as temperatures warm in California and nationwide, implement even one of the following cost-saving moves and you can expect your home's energy bill to drop. Implement two or more, and you can expect your bill to drop by a lot.

Keep it simple at the start. When the sun shines through a window on a cloudless day, it can raise a room's temperature by as much as 20 degrees. Therefore, the first energy-saving move to review is the easiest one -- simply close your home's window blinds and shades to block out the sun. 

With the shades drawn and the sun blocked, your rooms will stay cooler, and so will your home. This is especially important during the mid-day hours when the sun is at its strongest so, before you leave for work, make sure you've closed your blinds.

The next step is to change your home's air filter.

Air filters are meant to be changed quarterly, or monthly if your home has shedding pets. When your air filter is clean, the HVAC unit won't have to work as hard to push air through your home's air ducts, saving up to another 7% off your annual energy costs.

Next, replace your home's incandescent light bulbs with energy-efficient ones.

This step can be costly up-front, but over the long-term, savings are big. Not only do energy-efficient light bulbs such as CFLs and LEDs last for years, but they don't pump heat back into a room like an incandescent bulb will.

Incandescent bulbs are shown to convert 97.5% of their energy into heat, meaning just 2.5% of their supplied energy is used for light. This 97.5% then warms up your house, which costs money to cool.

And, lastly, if your home has ceiling fans, use them.

When a ceiling fan is running, it can make a room feel up to 8 degrees cooler. Just remember that ceiling fans cool you and not the room. Be sure to turn them off when you leave the room.